Blond-Insert
0x2933f5fcde5ef57095080145fd0c00eec4347d0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.30
Total PnL
$-51.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on February 16?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on January 6?
993 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on January 6?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$1.07Jul 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$1.07Jul 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?$2.10Jul 1, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?$1.00Jun 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?$1.00Jun 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$1.05Jun 19, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$1.07Jun 19, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?$1.02Jun 15, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?$1.00Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.32Jun 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?$1.00Jun 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?$1.00Jun 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?$2.02Jun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.03May 31, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?$1.00May 31, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?$1.00May 31, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$1.00May 20, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$2.02May 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$1.00May 11, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.