Full-Cover-Waiting
0x2935fe10de81eae2ea73d77f342fbbbae1dbd115
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.52
Total PnL
$-21.33
Realised
$10.18
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
97 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.39
$-0.10
- YES
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
4 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.00
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 2.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$0.02
- YES
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
1 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
3 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
2 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?
1 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
1 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?$0.33Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$0.00Jul 29, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.08Jul 28, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.91Jul 28, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?$0.21Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?$0.06Jul 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?$0.07Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$0.03Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$0.03Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$0.03Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$0.03Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$0.03Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?$0.17Jul 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.01Jul 28, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$0.14Jul 28, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jul 28, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jul 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jul 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jul 28, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.