Assured-Doughnut
0x293c826e98b68443752908eb56cf44bbe2c25058
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$5.80
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$-0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
9977 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2464 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2115 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1661 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-830.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
1408 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-703.95
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
1111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-555.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
977 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-488.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.81Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.95May 27, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMValencia: Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Adolfo Vallejo$5.00May 27, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia: Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Adolfo Vallejo$4.40May 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.40Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.50Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.20Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.10Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.85Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.65Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.52Apr 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.98Apr 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.79Apr 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.37Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.13Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.05Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.75Apr 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.00Apr 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.95Apr 27, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $169.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".