Tired-Sculptural
0x2940204fce60ebdbdd84ed6761d875ebef6abf9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$155.00
Total PnL
$38.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$116.25May 5, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$116.46May 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$111.80Apr 5, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$111.80Apr 5, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$108.78Mar 28, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$108.68Mar 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$103.14Mar 11, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$103.24Mar 11, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$102.93Feb 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$10.93Feb 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$50.56Feb 8, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$50.56Feb 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$46.62Jan 22, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$46.61Jan 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$42.65Jan 10, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$42.65Jan 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.40Dec 23, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$29.30Dec 23, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?$35.70Dec 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?$35.13Nov 23, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $65.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.