Frayed-Profile
0x2942e6ecb506434b3d54e81ee303f98d8bbeca78
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will XRP reach $2.20 December 29-January 4?
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 7?
252 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 17?
229 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 10?
224 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 1?
188 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?
108 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?
98 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?
94 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
62 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?
52 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$89.50Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$0.17Jun 1, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$87.99Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$1.71May 25, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$106.54May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$0.14May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$103.74May 23, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$1.46May 18, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$1.45May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 16?$1.97May 15, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of March 30 2026?$22.63May 14, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 10?$1.91May 10, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 6?$23.96May 7, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?$68.11May 1, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 10?$0.00Apr 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?$66.27Apr 11, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 5?$78.53Apr 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 6?$0.71Apr 6, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 6?$19.90Apr 6, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 5?$76.72Apr 5, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $37.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.