Obvious-Duration
0x2945eabe5ebb1a5b901cd052df7f724af156862e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-93.51
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
4077 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
3042 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
2770 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
1697 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
1323 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1116 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?
583 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
489 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
412 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
406 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.68Feb 23, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$40.00Feb 2, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$50.00Feb 1, 18:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.08Feb 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.25Jan 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.88Jan 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.88Jan 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$17.00Jan 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$77.08Jan 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$83.06Jan 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$92.12Jan 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$50.00Jan 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$29.19Jan 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$71.16Jan 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?$79.74Jan 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$24.14Jan 15, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?$104.66Jan 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?$81.00Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$50.00Jan 13, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $77.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".