Impassioned-Dissemination
0x29485a8c19c0238b6ec4ae31ec27f1917e5c2d97
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.41
Total PnL
$-116.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-2.30
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on February 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Mar 19, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$6.00Feb 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 19, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 19, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 19, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hart attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$0.00Feb 19, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 16, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$1.00Feb 16, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hart attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$4.00Feb 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Feb 16, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 16, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.