0x2953eee3a3c8d9c063524b649034d25845b340ac
0x2953eee3a3c8d9c063524b649034d25845b340ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$89.21
Total PnL
$-73.51
Realised
$-1.57
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
62 shares @ 13.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.88
$21.87
- NO
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$19.99
$8.60
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
15 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$2.25
- NO
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$6.96
$0.24
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.67
$-1.33
- NO
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$1.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$3.92
$0.08
- NO
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.76
$0.21
- YES
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.03
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
8600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?$0.20Mar 9, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.25Mar 9, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMJalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5$0.00Mar 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?$0.15Mar 9, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5$4.18Mar 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.72Mar 9, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$3.95Mar 9, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$11.40Mar 8, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$7.54Mar 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$6.09Mar 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$3.97Mar 8, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.