Definitive-Chrysalis
0x2961e2fd21e79b19c2f76c1eb3e6a4cfb5835296
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$111.11
Total PnL
$-478.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$111.11
$11.11
- NO
2025 January hottest on record?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on February 4?
460 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 6?
329 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-162.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
260 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-95.44
- YES
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
175 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
152 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-97.41
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
25 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-11.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$100.00Apr 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$100.00Apr 25, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$100.00Apr 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$103.74Apr 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$100.00Apr 25, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$192.62Apr 25, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$100.00Apr 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 6?$162.08Feb 6, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 5?$162.08Feb 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 5?$157.67Feb 5, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 5?$157.68Feb 5, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 5?$152.33Feb 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on February 4?$100.00Feb 4, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?$98.98Feb 4, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?$145.00Feb 4, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on February 4?$152.80Feb 4, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on February 3?$145.11Feb 4, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on February 4?$133.00Feb 3, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on February 3?$120.75Feb 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on February 3?$109.00Feb 3, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $90.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".