Exotic-Alarm
0x29642e021da3f8c0e307a017a53cb4ade1b5a439
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.95
Total PnL
$-6.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$6.95
$0.35
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
5 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$6.60Jan 21, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.62Jan 21, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.60Jan 8, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$2.00Jan 8, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$5.13Jan 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.00Oct 25, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$5.00Oct 18, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$2.78Oct 18, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $150 on September 8?$6.81Oct 18, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $150 on September 8?$6.80Sep 7, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$6.20Sep 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$6.00Aug 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$1.00Aug 8, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?$3.30Aug 8, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on July 6 at 5PM ET?$4.06Aug 8, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on July 6 at 5PM ET?$4.00Jul 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?$3.00Jul 6, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?$0.00Jul 6, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$2.13Jul 6, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$5.03Jul 6, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.