0x29645627e382a1eea17593a0cfaea2867f6c0ceb
0x29645627e382a1eea17593a0cfaea2867f6c0ceb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.92
Total PnL
$-5.30
Realised
$2.98
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 14?
7 shares @ 72.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$7.17
$1.97
- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$2.63
$0.63
- NO
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.74
$-1.26
- YES
Will Solana reach $120 in February?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
18 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
13 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 14?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$0.00Apr 13, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00Apr 13, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?$0.00Apr 13, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5$4.37Apr 13, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 14?$0.00Apr 13, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$0.00Mar 29, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00Mar 29, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?$0.00Mar 29, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 14?$0.00Mar 29, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$0.00Mar 27, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00Mar 27, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?$0.00Mar 27, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 14?$0.00Mar 27, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$0.00Mar 26, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00Mar 26, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?$0.00Mar 26, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 14?$0.00Mar 26, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$0.00Mar 23, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00Mar 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?$0.00Mar 23, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.