Hopeful-Want
0x2966011c378eda4ce37626cef3c1c1e24dd9e9b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$26.09
Total PnL
$-390.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.09
$2.87
- BETHUNE-COOKMAN WILDCATS
Southern Jaguars vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
480 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-292.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$23.22Feb 1, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$23.21Feb 1, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$22.12Jan 17, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$30.52Jan 17, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$50.40Jan 17, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$100.00Jan 17, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$100.00Jan 17, 01:46 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$100.00Jan 15, 18:36 UTC
- SPLITWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$100.00Jan 15, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$40.04Jan 15, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 14? $50.00Jan 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 14? $49.95Jan 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$50.00Jan 14, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$40.00Jan 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$30.00Jan 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$879.75Jan 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthern Jaguars vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats$292.80Jan 12, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$230.00Jan 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$2.84Jan 10, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$18.46Jan 10, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $246.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".