Witty-Patriarch
0x2966123747c87bbbd01dc6ba34c76b032c8cedfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$7.34
Total PnL
$-8.07
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.14
$2.07
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 17?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will June Squibb win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 5, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Solana dip to $40 in January?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will "CHANEL - Tyla" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.01Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$1.03Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.06Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?$1.07Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on June 24?$1.10Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- SPLITWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.14Jun 23, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.00Jun 23, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on June 24?$5.09Jun 23, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on June 24?$6.20Jun 23, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BNY fail by June 30, 2026?$6.23Jun 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNY fail by June 30, 2026?$7.30Jun 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$6.99Jun 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$1.03Jun 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$8.00Jun 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $10 in June?$8.91Jun 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in June?$10.00Jun 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$10.44Jun 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$11.50Jun 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?$11.42Jun 23, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?$12.50Jun 23, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.