Guilty-Newsstand
0x2968f3a4daa635f1f82833ef75009b602bf8ce4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$93.21
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$39.57
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.56
$-19.44
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1332 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.66
$-95.30
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
213196 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
200087 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
2898 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Seahawks
2732 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-487.99
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Vikings
1915 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
1668 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 25, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$8.27May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$103.28May 8, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$103.64May 8, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$103.86May 8, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$250.00Jan 27, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$128.00Jan 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?$1.22Jan 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026?$7.40Jan 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?$43.39Jan 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 29, 2026?$11.97Jan 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$64.09Jan 27, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$28.00Jan 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?$27.89Jan 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$171.00Jan 27, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$163.07Jan 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$500.00Jan 26, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$500.00Jan 26, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$500.00Jan 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$800.00Jan 26, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$200.00Jan 26, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $142.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".