Shameless-Second
0x29697dcf2a5afc131c893692b9fd450c52f77c43
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.38
Total PnL
$-12.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 17, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 17, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?$1.00Dec 8, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$2.00Dec 8, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$8.00Dec 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.00Dec 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Nov 10, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.00Nov 10, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$16.59Nov 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$20.00Nov 10, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$30.46Nov 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$9.00Oct 22, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.