True-Blizzard
0x296c1f3e60d42198877611b3f5163e02081dd17d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.72
Total PnL
$-8.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.11Jan 17, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.14Jan 17, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.33Jan 17, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.52Jan 17, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.07Jan 17, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Nov 1, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.01Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by October 1?$1.01Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$1.01Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?$1.02Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$1.30Nov 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Oct 1, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.