Big-Honoree
0x296d00509f7179e8b3a1e584d078e68455b4072d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-137.57
Win rate
1%
196 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
70 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2PM ET
61 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
60 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET
44 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET
35 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET
35 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$4.00Aug 20, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$4.10Aug 20, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.48Aug 20, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$4.08Aug 20, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$6.06Aug 20, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$4.00Aug 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$4.11Aug 20, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$6.35Aug 20, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$3.07Aug 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.93Aug 20, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.80Aug 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$4.10Aug 20, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.09Aug 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.63Aug 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$4.08Aug 20, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.00Aug 20, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11PM ET$7.46Aug 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$4.00Aug 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11PM ET$5.12Aug 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9PM ET$5.12Aug 20, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 196 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
196 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 196 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.