Thoughtful-Whey
0x297135392bb3f8316b4e8dd72f5190bf645d234d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)
3 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$2.86Feb 21, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$1.00Feb 7, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)$1.55Feb 7, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.17Feb 5, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 4, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 4, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$1.00Feb 4, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.03Feb 1, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.29Feb 1, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.30Jan 31, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$1.00Jan 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$4.73Jan 28, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.13Jan 28, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?$1.03Jan 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?$1.00Jan 26, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$1.09Jan 26, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.