0x297a574e027099a2f2c8937ba09232279ad34012
0x297a574e027099a2f2c8937ba09232279ad34012
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.59
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.48
$2.68
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.11
$-0.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Swamp the Vote" during Tele-Rally?
247 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?$3.17Jun 26, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?$3.46Jun 26, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Foul" 7+ times during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$3.75Jun 26, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Foul" 7+ times during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$3.85Jun 26, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$4.23Jun 26, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Swamp the Vote" during Tele-Rally?$0.04Jun 25, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Swamp the Vote" during Tele-Rally?$0.51Jun 25, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Swamp the Vote" during Tele-Rally?$2.00Jun 25, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$3.80Jun 25, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$4.09Jun 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.67Jun 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$0.18Jun 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$2.25Jun 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?$3.91Jun 23, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?$2.74Jun 23, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?$1.26Jun 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?$5.66Jun 23, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?$6.18Jun 23, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Jun 2, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.00Jun 2, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.