0x297d58d657d9216429487dbd1be30954619a800a
0x297d58d657d9216429487dbd1be30954619a800a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$79.93
Total PnL
$-18.24
Realised
$-12.76
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$25.01
$20.01
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
21 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.25
$14.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?
17 shares @ 17.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$17.04
$14.02
- YES
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
27 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.44
$0.14
- NO
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.41
$3.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$3.79
$1.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?
87 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?
34 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$3.13Mar 10, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$3.13Mar 10, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$2.50Mar 10, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$3.60Mar 10, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$3.43Mar 10, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?$0.18Mar 10, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$4.00Mar 10, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$4.00Mar 10, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$6.47Mar 10, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$3.61Mar 10, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$4.00Mar 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$4.00Mar 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10?$4.00Mar 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$4.00Mar 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$5.33Mar 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?$0.97Mar 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$14.26Mar 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?$0.78Mar 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$4.00Mar 10, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$4.00Mar 10, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.