Excellent-Fort
0x299398a00aa854b32b0e1547a827bcf0e29999b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-409.14
Realised
$4.15
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?
140 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 5?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?
68 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?
37 shares @ 73.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-27.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$8.45Jul 28, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$6.09Jul 27, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?$31.24Jul 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?$15.40Jul 26, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$8.94Jul 26, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$0.06Jul 26, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$3.08Jul 26, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$6.10Jul 26, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$0.62Jul 25, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$15.40Jul 25, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$8.54Jul 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 24?$3.07Jul 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$6.10Jul 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?$8.86Jul 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 23?$15.37Jul 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?$6.10Jul 22, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?$9.17Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?$6.11Jul 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 21?$0.09Jul 21, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?$1.85Jul 21, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.