Thoughtful-Appointment
0x299499f5ab5f691d95bdfb1025eac71be098e781
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$30.33
Total PnL
$-4.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
19 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$19.06
$15.06
- YES
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$4.84
$1.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
3 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.09
$0.09
- DEMOCRATIC
House control after 2024 election?
506 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GPT-5 released in 2024?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more? $1.00Nov 27, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.00Nov 27, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$7.02Nov 27, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?$1.00Nov 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.07Nov 26, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.00Nov 24, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.00Nov 23, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Cenat hit 1m subscribers during his subathon?$1.00Nov 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 released in 2024?$1.00Nov 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$1.00Nov 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$1.00Nov 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship launch today? $1.00Nov 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$2.00Nov 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$1.00Nov 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump appeal his hush money conviction?$3.00Nov 18, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?$1.00Nov 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$2.00Nov 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump appeal his hush money conviction?$1.00Nov 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$1.00Nov 17, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$4.00Nov 17, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 27, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".