Regular-Chick
0x299e2c2aa3678dd9a0f9142261c311b6c6453a55
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City beat Newcastle?$17.00Sep 28, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton beat Nottingham Forest?$0.00Sep 28, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City beat Arsenal?$0.00Sep 28, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton beat Nottingham Forest?$5.00Sep 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City beat Arsenal?$5.00Sep 22, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United beat Crystal Palace?$0.00Sep 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace beat Manchester United?$9.23Sep 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?$0.00Sep 21, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace beat Manchester United?$7.00Sep 21, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United beat Crystal Palace?$5.00Sep 21, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?$0.16Sep 15, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?$0.00Sep 15, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Southampton beat Manchester United?$0.00Sep 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?$16.00Sep 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton beat Manchester United?$16.82Sep 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?$0.00Sep 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?$1.34Sep 9, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS Open: Medvedev vs. Borges$0.33Sep 9, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the US Open?$1.00Sep 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Open: Medvedev vs. Borges$0.30Sep 2, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 28, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.