Polished-Ale
0x299ef7e12fbdb61ff71db96be2d4ad3dc79fc4a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$90.78
Total PnL
$-59.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
59 shares @ 33.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$58.96
$38.96
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
32 shares @ 62.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.83
$11.83
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
112 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 19?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Bulls
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?$21.86Jul 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$4.5KJul 19, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Nets$37.04Jul 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$400.00Jul 19, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$400.00Jul 18, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$100.00Jul 18, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$200.00Jul 18, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$20.00Jul 18, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 19?$10.00Jul 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?$10.00Jul 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$30.00Jul 18, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before September?$20.00Jul 18, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?$10.00Jul 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$20.00Jul 18, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$20.00Jul 18, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Bulls$20.00Jul 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nets$20.00Jul 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$500.00Jul 18, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$595.20Jul 18, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $381.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.