Arid-Reserve
0x29a13bc87af253cc6bcf4117c84469740bfc308f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.98
Total PnL
$-70.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14?
8811 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 15?
7570 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 9?
975 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?$15.09Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?$15.01Jun 4, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$15.06Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$15.00Jun 1, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$16.06May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$16.00May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?$15.15May 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?$15.01May 25, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$16.02May 22, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$16.00May 22, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$17.12May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$17.01May 20, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$17.07May 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$17.00May 18, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$15.03May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$15.00May 15, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$16.02May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$16.00May 13, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$15.06May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$15.00May 12, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $16.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".