Caring-Fannypack
0x29a1a68e8960e5184d62ce217286c53bdcfec459
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$259.14
Win rate
73%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
10216 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-102.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
7471 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-87.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
4498 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-119.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
3893 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
3744 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
3579 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-128.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
1841 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-144.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
1590 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
1550 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-52.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.24Jul 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.05Jul 27, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.44Jul 27, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.06Jul 27, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.06Jul 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.03Jul 27, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.51Jul 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.88Jul 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.07Jul 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.06Jul 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.17Jul 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.29Jul 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.13Jul 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.05Jul 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.28Jul 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$3.60Jul 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.14Jul 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$9.58Jul 23, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
51 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.