Creative-Diaper
0x29a55c2bf8efd1029c001477b34be47d3ca37752
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$176.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1585 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-11.33
- NO
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$880.00
$120.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?
359 shares @ 93.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$342.84
$6.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?
348 shares @ 92.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$338.95
$17.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?
292 shares @ 95.8¢·now 93.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$272.73
$-7.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 13?
248 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$247.87
$17.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 13?
200 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$199.90
$2.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 13?
170 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$167.58
$0.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 13?
165 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$164.92
$1.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 13?
169 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$163.34
$-1.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?$16.446m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?$2.239m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?$14.7211m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 13?$45.3417m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?$7.0919m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 13?$8.5430m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 13?$124.0038m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 13?$0.6145m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?$108.5647m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on May 13?$121.5250m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 13?$72.5253m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?$119.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?$5.521h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 13?$49.001h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?$124.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?$119.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 13?$121.621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?$92.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?$102.122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 13?$40.592h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $61.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 6m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
