Untrue-Arrogance
0x29aa2952777eceeec67e52beedf9f8665a3aff81
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-536.63
Realised
$-8.75
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 9AM ET
533 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Ethereum above $4000 on August 20?
174 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
162 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118K on August 22?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114K on August 28 at 4PM ET?
74 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$259.20Feb 1, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$714.22Jan 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$700.00Jan 31, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$714.22Jan 31, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$700.00Jan 31, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$637.79Jan 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$600.00Jan 28, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$612.19Jan 27, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$600.00Jan 27, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Jan 26, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$620.17Jan 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$600.00Jan 26, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$612.19Jan 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$600.00Jan 26, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?$0.00Jan 24, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$621.48Jan 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$602.96Jan 23, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$526.02Jan 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$500.00Jan 23, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$526.02Jan 22, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $303.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.