Fumbling-Photographer
0x29ac99e82e207328aa8499f838e85d73b13de313
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 3?
1566 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-783.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?
1560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-780.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 11?
1560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-780.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 27?
1560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-780.00
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
1560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-780.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 23?
1545 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-772.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 9?
1530 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-765.00
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?
1501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-750.50
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 12?
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Rockets
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-750.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$22.11Jan 29, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Knicks$500.00Jan 29, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Knicks$425.00Jan 27, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Grizzlies$665.16Jan 27, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$750.00Jan 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Islanders$1.5KJan 26, 04:11 UTC
- SPLITSabres vs. Islanders$1.5KJan 24, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 23?$1.5KJan 24, 16:05 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 23?$1.5KJan 23, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$1.5KJan 23, 08:16 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$1.5KJan 21, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Stars$1.5KJan 21, 06:54 UTC
- SPLITLightning vs. Stars$1.5KJan 18, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?$1.5KJan 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$21.00Jan 15, 03:24 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?$1.5KJan 15, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$21.00Jan 15, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 12?$1.5KJan 15, 03:23 UTC
- SPLITWill Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$21.00Jan 12, 03:28 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 12?$1.5KJan 12, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $683.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.