Glass-Overheard
0x29b2c95394e7a44aaf8dd96e4f887ed0f20f9bf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$40.98
Total PnL
$0.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by August 31?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$15.04
$0.05
- NO
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
4 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$4.12
$0.12
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$3.16
$0.16
- NO
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Goldman Sachs lays off 1000+ in March?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?$3.00Aug 31, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a Powerball jackpot winner by August 31?$15.00Aug 31, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$3.00Aug 31, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?$2.07Aug 31, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMIntel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?$2.00Aug 31, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?$1.05Aug 31, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$1.00Aug 31, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$2.00Jul 31, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Jul 31, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$2.00Jul 31, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$1.00Jul 31, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIntel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?$2.00Jun 30, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$2.00Jun 30, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$1.00Jun 30, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.00May 29, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$1.00May 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00May 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Albanese lose his seat?$1.00Apr 30, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?$2.00Apr 30, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?$1.00Apr 30, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 12:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".