0x29b565eb5e398737a85de64a5b55c68bc05df4f7
0x29b565eb5e398737a85de64a5b55c68bc05df4f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$1.67
Total PnL
$-346.62
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.55
$0.05
- YES
Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?
19 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.11
$-1.39
- YES
Will Tom Pidcock win the 2026 Tour De France?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?
3900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UNDER
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- OVER
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
1034 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.97
- YES
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 21?
188 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16?
180 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 14?
170 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5$1.52Jul 3, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMYunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5$2.73Jul 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?$1.54Jul 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5$1.52Jul 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5$1.52Jul 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYYunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5$1.52Jul 3, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5$1.52Jul 3, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5$1.52Jul 3, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Pidcock win the 2026 Tour De France?$1.51Jul 3, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.07Jul 3, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 2, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.