Messy-Replica
0x29be53597c1d5c760abe2e059a9b0590650605c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will J. B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
3836 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-7.67
- YES
Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
90 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-17.16
- YES
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$2.12Jul 24, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$7.66Jul 24, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$5.50Jul 24, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$9.50Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$5.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$4.50Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$6.67Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J. B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$5.00Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$10.00Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$7.67Jul 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?$1.00Jul 24, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out by July 4? $0.00Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$17.45Jul 3, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $20.00Jul 3, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $11.69Jul 2, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$11.69Jul 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$12.42Jul 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$12.42Jul 2, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$12.77Jul 2, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $14.00Jul 2, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $9.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".