Precious-Sigh
0x29ce1e694cf939ce68c6ccb73f2f8f990deab932
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Rose Garden" during ballroom dinner on October 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Bernie say "God" during CNN town hall on October 15?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
5 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$0.07Oct 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNo Cut October$0.10Oct 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?$0.08Oct 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by October 31?$0.21Oct 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Cut October$0.20Oct 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$0.17Oct 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Cut October$0.05Oct 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$0.84Oct 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?$0.99Oct 16, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?$0.78Oct 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$0.85Oct 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.80Oct 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$1.00Oct 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "God" during CNN town hall on October 15?$1.00Oct 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?$1.00Oct 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?$2.20Oct 16, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?$2.50Oct 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?$2.50Oct 16, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $0.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 18, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.