Defiant-Ruler
0x29ced7c31e702017b1962e57d6f36de91b4263c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-408.19
Realised
$-96.97
Win rate
23%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
1050 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
976 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
467 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.33
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
329 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
280 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
61 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
53 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
37 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.19
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
31 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.45
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.01Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.12Jun 19, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.01Jun 19, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.06Jun 19, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Jun 19, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.19Jun 18, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.88Jun 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.28Jun 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.28Jun 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.90Jun 18, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.04Jun 18, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.61Jun 18, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.22Jun 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.54Jun 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.29Jun 18, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.45Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.61Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.22Jun 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.42Jun 18, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.48Jun 18, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
31 closed markets, 23% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.