Delayed-Embryo
0x29cf7a69e6b86e4a3576cc6ccf60a45f26f65d4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$57.56
Realised
$184.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
60 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
37 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
25 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$28.09Jun 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.19Jun 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$26.31Jun 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$25.10Jun 20, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$0.20Jun 20, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$33.33Jun 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$25.44Jun 20, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$26.73Jun 20, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$15.39Jun 16, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$12.66Jun 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.15Jun 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$11.32Jun 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.24Jun 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.92Jun 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.45Jun 16, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$51.36Jun 16, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$62.65Jun 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$64.92Jun 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$288.93Jun 16, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $40.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.