Essential-Alien
0x29da0c821b4e0b0c134eb7473dacbb4788b1d808
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$12.14
Total PnL
$-951.91
Realised
$45.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
528 shares @ 21.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.14
$-98.86
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?
1536 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-169.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?
1003 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?
839 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by December 31?
707 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-302.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?
639 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.63
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?
371 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.63
- NO
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 18 2025?
371 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?
323 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2?
320 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$88.58Jan 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$59.83Jan 21, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?$61.25Dec 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?$69.00Dec 8, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?$100.00Dec 8, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$1.3KDec 5, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$1.2KDec 5, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by December 31?$2.00Dec 5, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?$25.00Dec 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by December 31?$100.00Dec 4, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by December 31?$200.00Dec 4, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?$20.00Dec 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?$20.00Dec 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?$3.56Dec 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?$26.81Dec 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?$101.63Dec 3, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?$100.00Dec 3, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?$80.00Dec 3, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?$30.00Dec 3, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?$30.00Dec 3, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $132.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".