Sad-Nation
0x29de3c62b7b49a2d2a062f93b6e659980a4bd9e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-792.85
Realised
$239.02
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 6?
880 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?
783 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on February 5?
736 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?
569 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 7?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 2 above $780?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5$1.94Jul 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5$2.71Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$3.48Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)$1.30Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$26.50Jul 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$7.26Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$6.10Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$22.91Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$2.86Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)$0.07Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$14.97Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$3.94Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$3.79Jul 28, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.57Jul 28, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.78Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.42Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.24Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.80Jul 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.09Jul 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.01Jul 28, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.