0x29e17e0da7794efd89403ccff9b958f5084b29f8
0x29e17e0da7794efd89403ccff9b958f5084b29f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-966.83
Realised
$-38.35
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8585 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-42.92
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2104 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-121.68
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2097 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-82.33
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1967 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.77
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
600 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-168.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
410 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-83.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
409 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-69.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
396 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-47.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
373 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-46.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
328 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-81.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$351.00Jul 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4.96Jul 24, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.86Jul 24, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.15Jul 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$18.41Jul 23, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$12.43Jul 23, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$6.82Jul 23, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$11.69Jul 22, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$10.20Jul 22, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$2.44Jul 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$5.00Jul 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$20.40Jul 22, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$3.36Jul 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$7.34Jul 21, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$12.43Jul 21, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$7.07Jul 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$0.60Jul 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$3.42Jul 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$0.14Jul 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$76.66Jul 21, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.