0x29e889152d0a54a70ee50d6d058ceab8a0d6d780
0x29e889152d0a54a70ee50d6d058ceab8a0d6d780
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.60
Total PnL
$0.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11PM ET
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?
2 shares @ 85.8¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11PM ET
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11PM ET$1.02Jul 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11PM ET$1.05Jul 16, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$2.02Jul 16, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 15?$1.39Jul 16, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11AM ET$1.69Jul 16, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10AM ET$0.00Jul 15, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11AM ET$1.03Jul 15, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11AM ET$1.03Jul 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 15?$1.02Jul 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10PM ET$1.02Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10PM ET$1.01Jul 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 11?$1.07Jul 11, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 11?$1.29Jul 11, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 10?$0.00Jul 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 11?$1.01Jul 11, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 11?$1.02Jul 11, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?$1.04Jul 11, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?$2.11Jul 11, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 10?$1.03Jul 10, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.