Soupy-Plane
0x29e9dd05479ab94032bc8471c99362208719fec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-142.03
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
7671 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-23.01
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
3238 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2393 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
2111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1441 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1233 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12PM ET
1059 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.34
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5PM ET$105.26Jul 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5PM ET$100.35Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4PM ET$111.71Jul 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4PM ET$98.19Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$97.87Jul 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$92.39Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET$92.39Jul 28, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET$85.48Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9AM ET$85.42Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9AM ET$82.23Jul 28, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET$82.70Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET$74.39Jul 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7AM ET$50.97Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5AM ET$112.68Jul 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5AM ET$100.79Jul 28, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3AM ET$106.38Jul 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3AM ET$100.42Jul 28, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2AM ET$102.50Jul 28, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2AM ET$100.17Jul 28, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5PM ET$104.37Jul 27, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $78.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.