Ultimate-Circle
0x29f9f6ce8f08d0a50eae60f1aa562cb4d91582a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-396.59
Realised
$-88.71
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 13?
150 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?
137 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?
123 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 17?
117 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?
116 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?
109 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
97 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21?
86 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 19?
82 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
81 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.