Polite-First
0x2a0318a47c5b6a6933b00ad285f4550471103e2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$15.67
Total PnL
$-483.31
Realised
$-5.88
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
30 shares @ 16.4¢·now 15.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- MEXICO
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
235 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.29May 24, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.03May 24, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?$3.16May 24, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Cavaliers$2.22May 24, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$10.00May 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$4.73May 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.01May 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.01May 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?$1.06May 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$1.02May 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$1.03May 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.03May 23, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$1.02May 23, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?$1.03May 23, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.16May 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?$1.74May 23, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?$1.03May 23, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?$2.58May 23, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.18May 23, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12AM ET$10.00May 23, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".