Wallet digest

active

Activity score

57/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$4.24

Total PnL

$-22.3K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 74

NO
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$1.14
$0.14
NO
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$1.04
$0.04
NO
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$1.03
$0.03
NO
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.03
$0.03
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 15, 03:26 UTC
TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 05:56 UTC
TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 6?$1.00Jan 4, 08:11 UTC
REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 26, 05:33 UTC
REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.11Dec 26, 05:33 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?$1.00Dec 26, 05:32 UTC
TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 01:23 UTC
TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 07:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.0KDec 10, 02:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.70Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$14.96Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$10.13Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$10.96Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$14.19Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$12.19Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$10.48Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$13.35Dec 10, 02:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$912.07Dec 10, 02:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 02:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 02:01 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry92 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $144.37
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 9, 04:44 UTC
Last active: Jan 15, 03:26 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:39:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data