Lustrous-Cutlet
0x2a0b006cc573c13f3ad65a313c4d04b79ef75721
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$14.4K
Total PnL
$479.70
Realised
$70.65
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6024 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.7K
$692.78
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5092 shares @ 70.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.1K
$1.5K
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.5K
$48.46
- NO
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
1060 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$52.65
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
625 shares @ 72.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$490.63
$40.63
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5975 shares @ 34.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$328.62
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
510 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$221.94
$-28.06
- NO
Will Trump nationalize elections?
156 shares @ 82.1¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.86
$-9.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
133 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
83 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$455.04Jul 14, 06:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.0KJul 11, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $632.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.