0x2a15f9b6d09f9386b5e2196bbd9a301e581399ef
0x2a15f9b6d09f9386b5e2196bbd9a301e581399ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.05
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- UP
BNB Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$3.90Aug 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$2.00Aug 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$3.02Aug 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$2.00Aug 21, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$3.57Aug 21, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$3.27Aug 21, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.00Aug 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$1.99Aug 21, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.03Jul 23, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.70Jul 23, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Jul 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.70Jul 23, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.71Jul 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.59Jul 21, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.52Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.50Jul 21, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$2.57Jul 21, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$1.99Jul 21, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.