Lighthearted-County
0x2a163c85df06c25ecce5858f15067cb66f61d869
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-507.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
379 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.64
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
363 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-64.50
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
350 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
345 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-89.15
- NO
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?
161 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US forces in Iran in 2025?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
136 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.68
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
114 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Another Israel military action on Yemen before July?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?$50.01Dec 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?$99.00Dec 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue the BBC?$52.65Nov 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?$40.00Nov 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?$40.00Nov 6, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?$66.00Nov 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.13Oct 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$44.64Aug 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$44.50Aug 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? $89.15Aug 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$32.68Jul 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$20.00Jul 12, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$15.00Jul 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran in 2025?$15.00Jul 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.00Jul 3, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?$3.56Jun 4, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$20.00Jun 1, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?$20.00Jun 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$50.00Jun 1, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?$20.00Jun 1, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $35.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".