Low-Ferryboat
0x2a1876963a46cda241a3298cb3665c5507f0169f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-16.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1997 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$76.02
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
1207 shares @ 93.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$52.31
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?
1098 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$59.85
- NO
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
666 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$638.97
$38.97
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
652 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$621.50
$16.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
3211 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-929.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
588 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$84.46Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.02Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $76.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.