Rough-Fallingout
0x2a1b75cc541392114af60310b66d53f7aa722d39
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$32.29
Total PnL
$-272.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.29
$0.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110000 on May 16?
540 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-21.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$32.00May 22, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?$32.02May 22, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?$31.06Apr 22, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$31.06Apr 22, 11:05 UTC
- REWARD$100.69Mar 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Mar 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$31.00Mar 10, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in February?$32.70Mar 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$11.07Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$4.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$1.50Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$2.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$5.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$2.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$3.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$2.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$1.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$1.00Feb 23, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?$32.50Feb 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?$31.20Jan 12, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $124.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".