Negligible-Tradition
0x2a2913d8728bd8fec24fcb55d247c54c37642eac
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$123.33
Total PnL
$-108.03
Realised
$30.50
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.62
$4.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.62
$4.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.62
$4.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.17Jul 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.17Jul 25, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.69Jul 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.17Jul 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.17Jul 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.01Jul 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.64Jul 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.02Jul 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.87Jul 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$5.17Jul 7, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.46Jul 4, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.82Jul 4, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.17Jul 3, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.17Jul 2, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.41Jun 29, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.17Jun 29, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.73Jun 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.17Jun 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.17Jun 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$5.17Jun 21, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.