Fake-Payoff
0x2a2def92172b1b567cd72c6d13407dd42a840af1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.94
Total PnL
$0.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.17
$0.17
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
4 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 November 17-23?$3.01Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dell say "AI Factory" during earnings call?$4.17Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$4.24Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$5.01Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$5.01Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 17-23?$5.01Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$5.02Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?$5.02Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?$5.49Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$6.02Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$6.00Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$5.00Nov 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$5.00Nov 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 November 17-23?$3.00Nov 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell say "AI Factory" during earnings call?$4.00Nov 20, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$4.00Nov 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Page be richest person on December 31?$5.00Nov 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Nov 20, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".